Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.121769 0.142963 0.166338 0.193971 0.225688 0.260889 0.302853
2025-12-28 0.087268 0.115843 0.150885 0.196732 0.254815 0.325597 0.417995
2026-01-04 0.069970 0.101785 0.143974 0.203375 0.284096 0.389095 0.534974
2026-01-11 0.057828 0.090849 0.137585 0.207473 0.307992 0.445740 0.646770
2026-01-18 0.048410 0.081464 0.131023 0.209146 0.327167 0.496271 0.753573
2026-01-25 0.040960 0.073427 0.124739 0.209572 0.343483 0.543079 0.858112
2026-02-01 0.034495 0.065671 0.117454 0.206968 0.354132 0.581579 0.952760
2026-02-08 0.029069 0.058632 0.110120 0.202951 0.361492 0.614915 1.041428
2026-02-15 0.024065 0.051401 0.101291 0.195015 0.361096 0.635305 1.110583
2026-02-22 0.022442 0.050256 0.102998 0.205452 0.392485 0.709406 1.271752
2026-03-01 0.019064 0.045008 0.096348 0.199822 0.394981 0.735144 1.354263
2026-03-08 0.016063 0.039983 0.089358 0.192559 0.393507 0.753508 1.425022
2026-03-15 0.013701 0.035971 0.083927 0.187849 0.396666 0.780965 1.515174
2026-03-22 0.012376 0.034095 0.082681 0.191413 0.416071 0.839438 1.665447
2026-03-29 0.011444 0.032980 0.082893 0.197968 0.441892 0.911624 1.845757
2026-04-05 0.010433 0.031469 0.081987 0.201973 0.462850 0.976086 2.016087
2026-04-12 0.009391 0.029665 0.080129 0.203607 0.478952 1.032245 2.174388
2026-04-19 0.008408 0.027816 0.077877 0.204023 0.492390 1.083968 2.327375
2026-04-26 0.007395 0.025664 0.074546 0.201481 0.499074 1.122500 2.456895
2026-05-03 0.006450 0.023500 0.070846 0.197560 0.502217 1.153862 2.573984
2026-05-10 0.005473 0.021006 0.065868 0.189816 0.495795 1.164619 2.649672
2026-05-17 0.005298 0.021073 0.067874 0.200001 0.532043 1.268501 2.924340
2026-05-24 0.004585 0.019160 0.064030 0.194507 0.530467 1.290508 3.028570